Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 11.948945 13.933824 16.094681 18.615186 21.467493 24.588056 28.253137
2025-11-09 8.325148 10.962793 14.133219 18.192007 23.213922 29.185266 36.780346
2025-11-16 6.194518 9.010349 12.675729 17.722872 24.407369 32.863247 44.259904
2025-11-23 4.697143 7.462028 11.320500 16.974629 24.901171 35.450055 50.346726
2025-11-30 4.017835 6.873451 11.095269 17.603104 27.150656 40.374163 59.736263
2025-12-07 3.495908 6.400239 10.924385 18.219994 29.358844 45.328976 69.449266
2025-12-14 2.872248 5.637385 10.179182 17.840854 30.007509 48.048248 76.122373
2025-12-21 2.355564 4.950379 9.437587 17.340673 30.365013 50.293549 82.173670
2025-12-28 2.149503 4.778423 9.519037 18.162455 32.832292 55.839010 93.443558
2026-01-04 1.936508 4.551838 9.466183 18.732821 34.911921 60.889320 104.222998
2026-01-11 1.688392 4.207362 9.147170 18.788563 36.112460 64.593901 113.081382
2026-01-18 1.475405 3.894415 8.839997 18.818901 37.247572 68.231490 121.998222
2026-01-25 1.240617 3.503439 8.358888 18.536453 37.925665 71.356014 130.621203
2026-02-01 1.029082 3.121901 7.845996 18.146199 38.402925 74.231615 139.128470
2026-02-08 0.848241 2.769192 7.333310 17.683589 38.687009 76.774150 147.215109
2026-02-15 0.681033 2.404601 6.726982 16.937728 38.336190 78.137069 153.315107
2026-02-22 0.620852 2.322876 6.762913 17.565209 40.730026 84.597971 168.696637
2026-03-01 0.566661 2.244712 6.793865 18.180993 43.143685 91.231988 184.725608
2026-03-08 0.473418 2.017082 6.409863 17.802557 43.466399 93.954153 193.810194
2026-03-15 0.390534 1.795695 5.999508 17.303301 43.475502 96.056626 201.842429
2026-03-22 0.366607 1.774621 6.129892 18.123566 46.396391 103.979144 221.113554
2026-03-29 0.336237 1.720632 6.158526 18.692886 48.804914 111.018354 239.040031
2026-04-05 0.294124 1.606798 5.993210 18.748526 50.061742 115.819064 252.910940